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The Top High-Risk Indicators

Recognising the critical warning signs that a situation could escalate:

✅ Extreme fear

✅ Stalking

✅ Coercive control

✅ History of sexual abuse or rape

✅ Abuse towards a minor

✅ Threats or attempts of suicide

✅ History of non-fatal strangulation

✅ Prior use of weapons to instil fear

✅ Threats of homicide

✅ Victim is pregnant

✅ History of isolation

✅ Suspect has a history of drug or alcohol misuse

✅ Shared children with the victim

✅ Escalation in behaviour

✅ Signs of jealousy

✅ Conflicts over child contact

✅ System abuse

✅ Threats of any kind

The Top High-Risk Indicators For Minors At Risk

Recognising the critical warning signs that a situation could escalate:

✅ Direct abuse towards child/children

✅ Separation and child contact concerns

✅ Threats to kill or harm the child/ children

✅ Threats to abduct the child/children

✅ Misuse of drugs / alcohol from the alleged offending parent

✅ Abuse in pregnancy of adult victim

✅Social isolation to either adult or child victims

✅ History of Sexual abuse towards a minor

✅ The alleged offending parent has made threats of homicide towards others

✅ The alleged offending parent has made threats of suicide to cause fear and uncertainty

✅ The alleged offending parent has minimised or denied the abuse they have inflicted upon either the adult or child victim

✅ The alleged offending parent is excessively controlling

✅ Are there any perceived cultural or religious beliefs that may be used to control or abuse the child

✅ Does the child/children have any known vulnerabilities?

"Invisible" Risk Factors in Professional Settings

🚩 DARVO Tactics: Deny, Attack, Reverse Victim and Offender

Perpetrators often use DARVO to deflect from allegations, especially in the absence of visible physical evidence, or they may blame the victim for their reaction.

Be particularly alert when:

  • The alleged perpetrator presents as calm, articulate, and collected — often professionals used to public speaking, corporate roles, or authority positions are well-versed in this.

  • The victim appears emotionally unstable, distressed, or even aggressive.

👉 This contrast is a red flag, not a reason to doubt the victim. It may reflect the perpetrator’s manipulation tactics and the impact of trauma on the victim,

not unreliability or instability.

🔴 A Trauma-Informed Perspective is Essential

Emotional dysregulation in victims is frequently a result of:

  • Chronic trauma, gaslighting, repeated invalidation and a fear. Not only fear from the perpetrator but fear of not being believed.

Perpetrators often accuse victims of the very behaviours they themselves exhibit, a deliberate smokescreen to confuse and discredit.

🚩 Mental Health Labels Can Obscure Risk

Victims may present with diagnoses such as BPD, bipolar disorder, or autism. These labels are often used by perpetrators to discredit them. Victims may even identify as being neurodivergent or psychologically/ emotionally unbalanced. This can be due to historical trauma and societal conditioning or the perpetrator themselves convincing the victim there is something wrong with them.

At the same time, victims may describe the perpetrator as having traits of narcissistic personality disorder, sociopathy, or psychopathy, in an attempt to make sense of behaviour that seems invisible or implausible to others, including police.

Key reminders:

  • Psychological labels must never be used to discredit victims or minimise risk.

  • Mental health issues are not excuses for abuse.

  • Always consider intent and impact, not just presentation.

🚩Suicide Risk and Manipulation

  • Some perpetrators threaten or attempt suicide to regain control or avoid accountability.

  • When they feel they’ve lost everything (status, children, finances), they may shift into last-resort thinking.

🔴 Victims are also at risk. Prolonged fear, coercive control, and system failures can lead to self-harm or suicidal ideation.

  • Victims will rarely disclose suicidal thoughts due to fear of being judged, dismissed, or seen as unstable.

  • If they do disclose, it is often out of sheer desperation, a cry for help, not manipulation.

  • This can be understood as a reactive response, mirroring the characteristics of reactive abuse, but turned inward.

🔴 The Tim Woodhouse Report highlights that 900 victims die by suicide each year in the UK. When including perpetrators who die by suicide due to failed manipulation or loss of control, the number rises to 1,800 annually

🚩 Extreme Fear

🛑 Even when someone cannot fully articulate or rationalise their own fear, fear is never without good reason, it is often driven by the primal survival response.

Fear can be triggered by something as subtle as a look, a shift in tone, or the way someone carries themselves. This instinctive reaction is heightened when a perpetrator has planted seeds of uncertainty early on, perhaps by sharing disturbing stories of extreme or dangerous behaviour. These accounts may seem far-fetched at the time, leading the victim to dismiss them consciously. However, the subconscious mind stores them as critical warnings, primed to resurface when a future threat is detected.

A perpetrator doesn’t need to have been overtly violent or made direct threats for a victim’s fear to be valid. Heightened fear can signal an escalation in the perpetrator’s behaviour, and it can also increase the risk of suicide. Fear should never be ignored or minimised.

🔹 Case Example: Alice Ruggles Alice's ex-partner engaged in repeated stalking after their breakup. He didn’t always seem aggressive; in fact, before he brutally took her life, he turned up with chocolates and flowers. But he made an indirect threat that terrified Alice.

💬 "I'm not going to kill you."

The real question is: Why did Dhillon feel the need to say this at all? A statement like this doesn’t come out of nowhere. It suggests that something had already happened, whether through his words, actions, or patterns of behaviour, that made Alice question what he was truly capable of.

When someone feels the need to reassure another person of their safety in this way, it often means fear has already been instilled. It’s a subtle yet chilling form of psychological manipulation, where the absence of an explicit threat is framed as a form of reassurance. But the fact that it needed to be said at all speaks volumes.

Watch the brief video below and consider what additional, less apparent risk factors may be at play.

Two Questions That Can Reveal Imminent Danger For Both Adult Victims & Their Children

1️⃣ Has the suspect had a history of drug or alcohol misuse?

🔹 Key Risk Factor:

Relapse is most likely to occur between 6 months and 2 years of abstinence. This period is critical, especially when layered with emotional triggers like anger, loss of control, or rejection.

💥 Why this matters: Events such as separation, exposure, or victim disclosure can act as a catalyst, potentially leading to a relapse and a sharp escalation in aggression or violence.

🔍 Important Considerations for Risk Assessment when there is a history of alcohol or substance misuse:

  • Threats to kill or threats of suicide must always be taken seriously and treated as red flags, especially if they coincide with substance misuse or relapse risk.

  • Gang affiliations increase access to weapons, support in retaliation, or reinforce a culture of control and dominance.

  • Military or police backgrounds present unique risk factors. These individuals may

    Be highly trained in combat or weaponry, have exposure to institutionalised power dynamics Be more skilled at masking coercive control

⚠️ Professional Judgment:

Always err on the side of caution when assessing a perpetrator with a history of substance misuse, particularly if:

  • There’s a significant personal loss, including the loss of a job

  • The victim has recently left

  • There’s a known period of abstinence

🧠 Be trauma-informed, but do not minimise risk. The presence of multiple risk factors, such as addiction along with a loss of control, weapon familiarity, or high-stakes humiliation, can elevate the risk level significantly.

🚨 A history of substance misuse increases unpredictability and escalating risk.

2️⃣ Is There Ongoing Post-Separation Abuse via Family Court

Family court is commonly weaponised by perpetrators to extend control.

Tactics include:

  • Deliberate delays, obsessive litigation, and refusal to cooperate.

  • False allegations or misrepresenting the victim’s mental health.

⚠️ These behaviours would often be viewed as stalking or harassment outside of court, but are regularly dismissed inside legal proceedings. They are high-risk indicators and should never be minimised.

  • If the perpetrator wins in court, control continues.

  • If they lose, the risk of revenge or last-resort thinking-based violence or suicide dramatically increases, particularly if threats have been made directly or indirectly towards the victim.

🛑 1 in 2 perpetrators follow through on threats of serious harm.

🛑 On average 2 women a week lose their life at the hands of a current or ex partner

🛑 Marie Tidball announced in parliament recently that 48 children, that we know of, have lost their life as a result of court permitted contact visits, despite there being a known history of domestic abuse.

🔍 Unidentified Mistakes That Increase Risk

1. Failure to View Behaviour Through a Trauma-Informed Lens

One of the most critical and frequent mistakes made by professionals is failing to apply a trauma-informed lens when assessing both victims and perpetrators.

For Victims: Trauma responses such as emotional dysregulation, incoherence, or volatility are not signs of unreliability; they are often signs of prolonged trauma, desperation, and fear.

For Perpetrators: Trauma-informed does not mean excusing or minimising dangerous behaviour. It means understanding why it occurs, not just what occurred.

Viewing perpetrator behaviour through a trauma-informed lens allows professionals to identify motive and pattern, not to excuse the abuse, but to understand what drives it.

Common drivers include:

  • Humiliation or shame

  • Loss of control

  • Defiance from the victim

  • Deep entitlement rooted in early childhood experiences

These behaviours often stem from trauma, but that is not a justification. It is an explanation of the origin of their dangerous coping strategies. Many perpetrators have learned early on that fear, intimidation, and dominance get their needs met and restore their internal sense of control. Over time, these tactics become reinforced, particularly when consequences were weak or absent in their earlier life.

2. The Power of the Trauma-Informed Timeline

Many police statements focus only on the most recent incident, but trauma and coercive control rarely begin there. Victims often jump around in their recollection due to trauma, which makes their statements appear incoherent. This creates confusion and can unfairly harm credibility.

🧠 Solution: Use a trauma-informed timeline — a chronological account from the beginning of the relationship to:

  • Identify escalation points

  • Detect behaviour patterns

  • Map the psychological impact of the abuse

A timeline acts like a biography of the abuse and is critical in making sense of fragmented disclosures.

3. Misjudging the Victim’s Emotional Response

Professionals must pause before judging a distressed or volatile victim. Ask yourself:

  • Have I made them feel unheard, disbelieved, or unsafe?

  • Are they reacting from a place of deep trauma?

  • Is this their first moment of feeling like they have a voice?

Victims often appear aggressive, not because they are unstable, but because they’ve finally found the courage to speak after years of being silenced.

🚨 The worst mistake is punishing a victim for finally speaking up.

4. Premature Judgments Before Gathering Full Context

Jumping to conclusions about either party without a full trauma-informed understanding of the dynamics increases risk and can lead to devastating consequences.

Victims who feel misunderstood, disbelieved, or blamed can spiral into deeper fear or despair, and tragically, in many cases, suicide.

Fact: According to the Tim Woodhouse Report, approximately 900 domestic abuse-related suicides occur each year, doubling to 1,800 when including perpetrators.

🔑 Key Professional Tips When Engaging With Victims and the Alleged Suspect

🚫 Stay Impartial — Always

Why This Matters:
Professionals must not allow personal opinions, emotional reactions, or initial impressions to shape their decisions. Whether engaging with the alleged victim or the accused, objectivity is non-negotiable.

Even when you feel a natural connection or empathy toward someone, your role is to rely on facts, patterns, and evidence — not assumptions.

🛠️ Tools to Support Impartiality:

  • Use trauma-informed engagement techniques

  • Build a relationship timeline to spot inconsistencies or corroborate patterns

  • Remain curious, not conclusive

🤝 Rapport Building: The Gateway to Disclosure & Safety

Victims of domestic abuse often don’t feel safe around professionals — particularly those in positions of power.


Safety must be earned.

✅ How to Build Rapport & Psychological Safety:

  • Raise Awareness Internally:
    Educate your workforce about the realities of abuse, both at home and in the workplace. This shows your organisation is approachable, informed, and serious about wellbeing.

  • Implement Clear Policies & Provide Specialist Training:
    Make your policies and support pathways visible. Clearly outline who within your organisation is trained and equipped to support safely — and ensure that training is rooted in trauma-informed practice. Misguided advice can have fatal consequences.

  • Meet Them Where They Feel Safe:
    If an employee has subtly signalled something isn’t right, consider suggesting a more neutral space to talk — even something as informal as grabbing a coffee outside the office can create the environment needed for safe disclosure.

  • Co-Regulate:
    Learn and use regulation tools to help calm a dysregulated nervous system. When a victim feels emotionally safe, their ability to communicate clearly and make empowered decisions increases.

🧠 Prioritise Your Own Emotional Wellbeing

Working with victims of trauma is emotionally complex. If left unchecked, it can lead to burnout, emotional dysregulation, or even unconscious harm — often through projection or disengagement.

❗ Why This Matters:

  • Your own unprocessed trauma may be triggered

  • Emotional fatigue reduces your ability to stay calm, fair, and responsive

  • Snap judgments or apathy can arise when overwhelmed

💡 Tips for Staying Regulated:

  • Regular supervision, reflective practice, or debriefs

  • Access to professional support if needed

  • Awareness of your own triggers and signs of emotional strain

  • Prioritise rest, boundaries, and purpose-driven self-care

🧠 Remember: Regulated professionals save lives.
Dysregulated professionals unintentionally escalate risk.
Trauma-informed doesn’t just apply to the people you're supporting — it applies to you, too.

🚨 Safety First — Think Beyond the Workplace

If an employee discloses abuse or is displaying high-risk behaviours themselves, any organisational action must be paired with a clear-eyed view of the wider risks involved.

Why This Is Critical:

Perpetrators who feel exposed, challenged, or out of control often escalate. What you see in the workplace may only be a fraction of their behaviour behind closed doors. And what they perceive as “unfair treatment” can trigger retaliation.

If the risk of being exposed publicly feels too high, perpetrators often redirect their aggression toward more vulnerable family members, where retaliation may go unnoticed or unchallenged.

Employers must be aware: disciplinary or safeguarding actions taken in isolation may inadvertently escalate the risk for a partner or child who is already experiencing abuse.

This is why early, informed communication with the police is essential.


And this is where your internal risk assessment skills need to be trauma-informed and evidence-based within the legal framework.

Coercive Control and System Manipulation

Perpetrators may deliberately use systems, including police, healthcare, social services, and family courts, to continue exerting coercive control.

These tactics may include:

  • Fabricated narratives

  • Strategic emotional displays

  • Exploiting professionals’ empathy or lack of trauma-informed understanding around perpetrator behaviour

The result:

  • Re-traumatisation of the victim

  • Reinforcement of the perpetrator’s power

  • Erosion of victim trust in protective services

Case Example

This real-life account illustrates how coercive control can be exercised through the manipulation of systems, including police officers, to reinforce fear, exert dominance, and psychologically destabilise the victim.

Incident Summary:

  • A perpetrator, under active police and CPS investigation for threats to kill, coercive control, and malicious communication, with ongoing incidents of stalking, breaches of a non-molestation order and system abuse via family court, called the police concerned he may have breached his non-molestation order.

  • He claimed to have walked for three hours after the victim had supposedly called him and asked him to come over.

  • He alleged that, upon arrival, he found the victim in a sexually compromising position with another man, and that she then drove him home.

  • This narrative lacked credibility, particularly given the nature of the investigation, ongoing stalking and post-separation system abuse and risk context.

Victim Response and Officer’s Reaction:

  • The victim questioned the officer on the plausibility of her ex-partner's story, asking: “How plausible do you think that sounds and Why would you call me at 11.30pm knowing i am alone with my young daughter, especially when he’s under investigation for threats to my life?”

  • The attending officer admitted: “What he has said doesn't seem plausible… but he asked me to call you so i did.”

  • Upon checking the perpetrator’s phone, there was no record of communication from or to the victim, or anyone, that day.

Manipulation Tactics Observed:

  • When faced with the lack of evidence, the perpetrator immediately defaulted to a familiar strategy:

    • Claimed confusion

    • Displayed emotional distress and struggling to cope

    • Positioned himself as the victim

  • The officer misinterpreted these behaviours as genuine vulnerability and drove him to the hospital, citing apparent mental confusion.

Victim Impact:

“He used the police to deliver a very clear message to me: He can get to me whenever he wants. He can impact me emotionally and psychologically whenever he chooses. And he did it with the help of professionals who were meant to keep me safe.”

  • The victim was only informed the following day that he had been taken to the hospital and had been quickly discharged, as had occurred in previous incidents involving threats to life as a form of controlling outcomes and avoiding accountability.

  • The emotional aftermath left the victim:

    • On edge

    • Dysregulated

    • In a heightened state of fear and uncertainty

While this example involves law enforcement, offenders can utilise various supporting services to cast the actual victim in a negative light, all while conveying a strong message to the real victim, serving as a reminder of who holds the power.

Practice Reflection:

  • Ask: “Is this person genuinely confused, or are they deflecting from accountability?”

  • Observe: Does this behaviour reflect a broader pattern of manipulation or even potential escalation based on historical events?

  • Consider: What is the psychological impact on the victim if services validate or facilitate this interaction?

This is coercive control. It's not always physical. It's not always loud. But it is strategic, calculated, and deeply damaging.

Understanding the Dynamics of Threats in Coercive Control

One of the most dangerous misconceptions professionals can make when assessing risk is assuming that a perpetrator’s threats are less serious simply because they’ve “never followed through before.”

But here’s the reality:

A perpetrator doesn’t need to follow through on a threat, so long as the threat itself is working. This tactic is known as fear-induced compliance.

The threat remains a powerful tool of control for as long as it achieves the desired outcome: submission, silence, return, or compliance. But the moment a victim stops complying, the risk of that threat being acted upon can escalate dramatically.

We cannot afford to confuse the absence of action with the absence of intent.

Professionals must remember:

  • Threats are often used as psychological weapons, not physical ones, until that weapon stops working.

  • A threat that hasn’t been acted on doesn’t mean it won’t be, even years later.

  • The tipping point for violence is often the moment a perpetrator feels they are losing control.

This kind of minimisation puts lives at risk. Frontline professionals must be trained to assess the function of a threat, not just its history or frequency.

And it’s important to understand:

Victims may appear confused about their own fear, often because they’ve been conditioned to rationalise it. But their fear is very often justified.

The Case of Yazmina D’Argent: A Devastating Reality

Let’s consider the tragic case of Yazmina D’Argent, who was murdered by her dangerously entitled father, Ramazan Acar, a man who terrorised her mother, Rachelle, throughout their relationship.

Acar frequently made threats toward Rachelle, threats he often used as a psychological weapon. Many were never acted upon. He also idolised their daughter, Yazmina. So although Rachelle lived in constant fear of how his behaviour could escalate toward her, she never believed he would harm their child.

Like many survivors, Rachelle battled the dual realities of fear and rationalisation.

She feared his unpredictable nature, but she also reassured herself:

“He’s just trying to hurt me.”

“He loves our daughter.”

“Maybe this is just another empty threat.”

But when the final threat came, this time directed at their child, Rachelle couldn’t shake the dread. Still, her mind clung to the long list of threats he hadn’t acted on before.

This time, he followed through.

Acar carried out the most ultimate and irreversible act of violence:

He killed Yazmina.

This tragic case serves as a stark reminder that threats should never be overlooked, no matter how long they have existed, whether action has been taken in the past, or how improbable it seems that a perpetrator would act.

Statistics show that 1 in 2 perpetrators will carry out a threat.

Therefore, we must treat every threat seriously, assuming that any perpetrator has the potential to act, regardless of whether the threat is recent or from the past.